Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 43 · v1

Severe Weather near Middletown

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 6 July 2026 at 04:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 5th strongest of the 176 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 5 July 2026. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 5 at 9:58PM EDT until July 6 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

Urban PEI: 194,918 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.85/1
Coordinates39.2722, -75.7448
Nearest CityMiddletown (20 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)194.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-06T01:58:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e41a640de5cfded30050f4f3c58371e

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-06T01:58:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-06T02:21:23.180Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescDelaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD; Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD; Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD; Chester River to Queenstown MD; Eastern Bay
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 5 at 9:58PM EDT until July 6 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Expires2026-07-06T00:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Mount Holly NJ
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e41a640de5cfded30050f4f3c58371e34430045.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.47865e620af770d103fa530ba3ceff472de7bfb5.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem CitySmyrna
Iem CountyKent
Iem StateDE
Iem WfoPHI
Iem RemarkSeveral trees down in Smyrna with a couple of them blocking roadways.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_39.300_-75.610_1783293480000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783293480000,"latitude":39.3,"longitude":-75.61}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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